Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 36.211031 41.607209 47.432471 54.175915 61.754323 69.994790 79.619928
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 27.384304 34.997372 43.990276 55.334515 69.194826 85.505796 106.074972
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 20.315475 28.361473 38.594405 52.426142 70.476450 93.057245 123.241086
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 17.211885 25.831709 37.470837 54.094556 76.939860 106.902910 148.775900
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 15.304386 24.451591 37.453044 56.908355 84.824661 122.895053 178.065083
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 12.718187 21.605259 34.883313 55.662723 86.727557 130.674278 196.551398
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.383792 18.725461 31.803993 53.165440 86.361857 134.962613 210.137801
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.721257 18.399309 32.542534 56.442448 94.735049 152.319361 243.584194
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.447151 18.666784 34.216170 61.288032 105.830134 174.381164 285.321519
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.485862 17.574035 33.482003 62.081898 110.492009 186.848532 313.175923
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.519826 16.321024 32.304773 61.962420 113.571287 196.933358 337.811869
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.600962 15.013724 30.860854 61.192706 115.420437 205.058352 359.679630
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.878380 14.036122 29.992829 61.519621 119.449857 217.461862 390.037233
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.256717 13.180355 29.273207 62.084298 124.020039 231.216008 423.765109
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.319036 11.468752 26.640223 58.715941 121.159920 232.063610 435.818471
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.995694 11.092980 26.669920 60.527966 127.999732 250.185744 478.493641
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.812207 11.017164 27.316036 63.627974 137.501256 273.589290 531.667623
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.302753 10.041445 25.875196 62.251378 138.172655 281.010600 556.850176
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.771232 8.899609 23.896667 59.493191 135.817580 282.617886 571.523935
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.702869 8.994647 24.801084 63.111795 146.679246 309.674950 634.308593
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.732459 9.369975 26.415997 68.458256 161.482893 345.036553 714.234901
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.508503 8.971540 26.086795 69.333719 166.926589 362.582737 761.475075
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.257871 8.443109 25.360347 69.201968 170.182373 375.990203 801.461693